G20众生相:欧盟“斧头帮”PK美国“丐帮”

 G20峰会成为战场:欧盟主张大刀阔斧削减预算俨然“斧头帮”,美国借钱以刺激经济则颇有“丐帮”风范,究竟谁占上风,PK正在进行

  加拿大举行的G20峰会俨然成为美国“刺激论”和欧洲“紧缩论”交锋的战场。

  我的第一反应是为欧洲的“紧缩论”喝彩。“财政紧缩”,顾名思义,就是削减政府的浪费花销。而奥巴马的概念“刺激”,则是指从中国借钱,然后花在各种亲民主党的特殊利益群体身上。

  但是表象总是有欺骗性的。

  在欧洲的语境中,紧缩意味着平衡预算而不是减少消费。因此,大卫·卡梅伦建议将英国的增值税从17.5%提高到20%大概是一个紧缩迹象,即使其财政大臣表示更高的税务负担将迫使政府必须“从额外的削减开支中产生130亿英镑”。

  提高税收以资助一个臃肿的政府与奥巴马借钱来资助一个臃肿政府的战略截然不同。但是小政府和自由经济的支持者却发现,两个大政府的决定引人反感。

  最重要的是,从财政政策的角度看,是相对于经济产出缩小政府的支出负担。欧洲需要小政府,而不是预算平衡。经合组织的数据显示,欧元区国家的消费占GDP的比例高达51%,比美国政府 的开支负担高出10%。

  不幸的是,默克尔、卡梅伦和萨科奇等人的紧缩计划或许让政府的总体负担相对不变,如果另一个选择是政府的消费预算占经济产出比例更大的话,还算是一个好消息,但是目前看来,这远远不能满足需要。

  又不幸的是,美国不再给欧洲福利国家提供有竞争力的前景。在布什和奥巴马的大政府政策下,政府开支占GDP的份额在过去十年飙升了8%。随着奥巴马提出或实施更高的收入税、死亡税、资本收益税、工资税、股息税、营业税,看来美国式大政府的“刺激”将很快与欧洲式大政府的“紧缩”为伍。

  以下来自《基督教科学箴言报》的文章生动再现了加拿大G20峰会上演的财政政策战争:

  本周末召开的G20峰会正在演变为一场文明的经济冲突,至少也是欧盟和美国经济观点的碰撞。德国总理默克尔为首的欧盟领导人发动了削减预算的财政紧缩攻势,他们认为此举是保证经济健康的最明智政策。默克尔表示,将继续在德国推行1000亿美元的削减计划,英国、意大利、法国、西班牙和希腊也举着巨型斧头准备削砍预算。欧盟官员认为,预算紧缩能够促进稳定和市场信心,这是总体复苏的先决条件。同时,欧盟的紧缩的号召也遭到了反击:美国总统奥巴马和G20峰会主席、韩国总统李明博发表声明,称欧盟实施的紧缩措施将阻碍经济复苏。接着,美国财长盖特纳、乔治·索罗斯以及克鲁格曼也赶来为这场口水战“帮腔”,称紧缩将遏制经济增长,甚至导致经济衰退的恶性循环。

  (Daniel J. Mitchell是自由市场智囊机构Cato Institute的高级研究员。本文来自于福布斯网站,编译:杜博)

 

The G-20 Fiscal Fight: A Pox on Both Their Houses

Barack Obama and Angela Merkel are the two main characters in what is being portrayed as a fight between American "stimulus" and European "austerity" at the G-20 summit meeting in Canada.

My immediate instinct is to cheer for the Europeans. After all, "austerity" presumably means cutting back on wasteful government spending. Obama's definition of "stimulus," by contrast, is borrowing money from China and distributing it to various Democratic-leaning special-interest groups.

But appearances can be deceiving.

Austerity, in the European context, means budget balance rather than spending reduction. As such, David Cameron's proposal to boost the U.K.'s value-added tax from 17.5 percent to 20 percent is supposedly a sign of austerity even though his Chancellor of the Exchequer said a higher tax burden would generate “13 billion pounds we don’t have to find from extra spending cuts.”

Raising taxes to finance a bloated government, to be sure, is not the same as Obama's strategy of borrowing money to finance a bloated government. But proponents of limited government and economic freedom understandably are underwhelmed by the choice of two big-government approaches.

What matters most, from a fiscal policy perspective, is shrinking the burden of government spending relative to economic output. Europe needs smaller government, not budget balance. According to OECD data, government spending in eurozone nations consumes nearly 51% of gross domestic product, almost 10 percentage points higher than the burden of government spending in the United States.

Unfortunately, I suspect that the "austerity" plans of Merkel, Cameron, Sarkozy, et al, will leave the overall burden of government relatively unchanged. That may be good news if the alternative is for government budgets to consume even-larger shares of economic output, but it is far from what is needed.

Unfortunately, the United States no longer offers a competing vision to the European welfare state. Under the big-government policies of Bush and Obama, the share of GDP consumed by government spending has jumped by nearly 8-percentage points in the past 10 years. And with Obama proposing and/or implementing higher income taxes, higher death taxes, higher capital gains taxes, higher payroll taxes, higher dividend taxes, and higher business taxes, it appears that American-style big-government "stimulus" will soon be matched by European-style big-government "austerity."

Here's a blurb from the Christian Science Monitor about the Potemkin Village fiscal fight in Canada:

This weekend's G-20 summit is shaping up as an economic clash of civilizations – or at least a clash of EU and US economic views. EU officials led by German chancellor Angela Merkel are on a national "austerity" budget cutting offensive as the wisest policy for economic health, ahead of the Toronto summit of 20 large-economy nations. Ms. Merkel Thursday said Germany will continue with $100 billion in cuts that will join similar giant ax strokes in the UK, Italy, France, Spain, and Greece. EU officials say budget austerity promotes the stability and market confidence that are prerequisites for their role in overall recovery. Yet EU pro-austerity statements in the past 48 hours are also defensive – a reaction to public statements from US President Barack Obama and G-20 chairman Lee Myung-bak, South Korea's president, that the overall effect of national austerity in the EU will harm recovery. They are joined by US Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner, investor George Soros, and Nobel laureate and columnist Paul Krugman, among others, arguing that austerity works against growth, and may lead to a recessionary spiral.

 

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